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dc.creatorMerino, G.
dc.creatorBarange, M.
dc.creatorBlanchard, J.L.
dc.creatorHarle, J.
dc.creatorHolmes, R.
dc.creatorAllen, I.
dc.creatorAllison, E.
dc.creatorBadjeck, M.C.
dc.date.accessioned2018-09-26T16:39:43Z
dc.date.available2018-09-26T16:39:43Z
dc.date.issued2012
dc.identifierhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378012000271
dc.identifier.citationGlobal Environmental Change 22(4): 795–806
dc.identifier.issn0959-3780
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12348/919
dc.description.abstractExpansion in the world's human population and economic development will increase future demand for fish products. As global fisheries yield is constrained by ecosystems productivity and management effectiveness, per capita fish consumption can only be maintained or increased if aquaculture makes an increasing contribution to the volume and stability of global fish supplies. Here, we use predictions of changes in global and regional climate (according to IPCC emissions scenario A1B), marine ecosystem and fisheries production estimates from high resolution regional models, human population size estimates from United Nations prospects, fishmeal and oil price estimations, and projections of the technological development in aquaculture feed technology, to investigate the feasibility of sustaining current and increased per capita fish consumption rates in 2050. We conclude that meeting current and larger consumption rates is feasible, despite a growing population and the impacts of climate change on potential fisheries production, but only if fish resources are managed sustainably and the animal feeds industry reduces its reliance on wild fish. Ineffective fisheries management and rising fishmeal prices driven by greater demand could, however, compromise future aquaculture production and the availability of fish products.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.languageEn
dc.publisherElsevier Ltd
dc.sourceGlobal Environmental Change
dc.titleCan marine fisheries and aquaculture meet fish demand from a growing human population in a changing climate?
dc.typeJournal Article
dcterms.bibliographicCitationMerino, G. et al. (2012). Can marine fisheries and aquaculture meet fish demand from a growing human population in a changing climate?. Global Environmental Change 22(4): 795–806
dc.description.versionPeer Review
cg.identifier.worldfish3055
cg.subject.agrovocaquaculture
cg.subject.agrovocclimate change
cg.subject.agrovocfish
cg.subject.agrovocfisheries
cg.subject.agrovocmarine fisheries
cg.subject.worldfishfisheries management
cg.subject.worldfishmarine aquaculture
cg.contributor.affiliationPlymouth Marine Laboratory
cg.contributor.affiliationUniversity of Sheffield
cg.contributor.affiliationProudman Oceanographic Laboratory
cg.contributor.affiliationWorldFish
cg.contributor.affiliationSimon Fraser University
cg.contributor.affiliationSchool of Environmental Sciences
cg.contributor.affiliationCentre for Environment
cg.contributor.affiliationUnite´ de Recherche Ecosyste`mes Marins Exploites
cg.contributor.affiliationSchool of Marine Science and Engineering
cg.identifier.statusLimited access
cg.identifier.ISIindexedISI indexed
cg.contribution.worldfishauthorAllison, E.
cg.contribution.worldfishauthorBadjeck, M.C.
cg.description.themeClimate change
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.03.003en_US
cg.identifier.urlhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378012000271


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