Linking ecosystem services provisioning with demand for animal-sourced food: an integrated modeling study for Tanzania

cg.contribution.worldfishauthorTran, N.en_US
cg.contribution.worldfishauthorChan, C.en_US
cg.contributor.affiliationBioversity Internationalen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Food Policy Research Instituteen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Livestock Research Instituteen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationWorldFishen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysisen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationOklahoma State Universityen_US
cg.contributor.crpPolicies, Institutions, and Marketsen_US
cg.contributor.initiativeForesighten_US
cg.coverage.countryUnited Republic of Tanzaniaen_US
cg.coverage.regionEastern Africaen_US
cg.creator.idDolapo Enahoro: 0000-0002-4927-5617en_US
cg.creator.idMarta Kozicka: 0000-0002-2323-3689en_US
cg.creator.idNhuong Tran: 0000-0002-1813-4571en_US
cg.creator.idChin Yee Chan: 0000-0001-8615-2678en_US
cg.creator.idElisabetta Gotor: 0000-0003-0533-3077en_US
cg.description.themeMiscellaneous themesen_US
cg.identifier.ISIindexedISI indexeden_US
cg.identifier.statusOpen accessen_US
cg.subject.actionAreaSystems Transformationen_US
cg.subject.agrovocfood securityen_US
cg.subject.agrovoclivestock productionen_US
cg.subject.agrovocland use changeen_US
dc.creatorEnahoro, D.en_US
dc.creatorKozicka, M.en_US
dc.creatorPfeifer, C.en_US
dc.creatorJones, S.K.en_US
dc.creatorTran, N.en_US
dc.creatorChan, C.en_US
dc.creatorSulser, T.en_US
dc.creatorGotor, E.en_US
dc.creatorRich, K.en_US
dc.date.accessioned2024-04-25T02:02:37Z
dc.date.available2024-04-25T02:02:37Z
dc.date.issued2023en_US
dc.description.abstractStandard tools that can quantitatively track the impacts of higher global demand for animal-sourced food to their local environmental effects in developing countries are largely missing. This paper presents a novel integrated assessment framework that links a model of the global agricultural and food system, a landscape-level environmental impact assessment model, and an ecosystem services simulation model. For Tanzania, this integrated assessment showed that a projected increase in the demand and production of foods of livestock origin with optimistic economic growth between 2010 and 2030 leads to an improvement in food security. However, resulting transitions in land use impact negatively on the future provisioning of ecosystem services, increasing phosphorus, nitrogen, and sediment in runoff and reducing water quality in areas downstream of the agricultural expansion. Losses in ecosystem services are lowest when diversified farming practices are adopted in areas of agricultural land expansion. The role of land management in the environmental impacts of expanded livestock production is highlighted, as is the need for a new generation of analytical tools to inform policy recommendations.en_US
dc.formatPDFen_US
dc.identifier.citationDolapo Enahoro, Marta Kozicka, Catherine Pfeifer, Sarah Jones, Nhuong Tran, Chin Yee Chan, Timothy Sulser, Elisabetta Gotor, Karl Rich. (28/2/2023). Linking ecosystem services provisioning with demand for animal-sourced food: an integrated modeling study for Tanzania. Regional Environmental Change, 23.en_US
dc.identifier.issn1436-3798en_US
dc.identifier.issn1436-378Xen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12348/5952
dc.languageenen_US
dc.publisherSpringer (part of Springer Nature)en_US
dc.rightsCC-BY-4.0en_US
dc.sourceRegional Environmental Change;23,(2023)en_US
dc.subjectscenario analysisen_US
dc.subjectintegrated assessmenten_US
dc.subjectecosystem assessmenten_US
dc.titleLinking ecosystem services provisioning with demand for animal-sourced food: an integrated modeling study for Tanzaniaen_US
dc.typeJournal Articleen_US

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