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dc.creatorChan, C.en_US
dc.creatorTran, N.en_US
dc.creatorCheong, K.en_US
dc.creatorSulser, T.en_US
dc.creatorCohen, P.J.en_US
dc.creatorWiebe, K.en_US
dc.creatorNasr-Allah, A.M.en_US
dc.date.accessioned2022-01-07T05:25:35Z
dc.date.available2022-01-07T05:25:35Z
dc.date.issued2021en_US
dc.identifier.citationChan CY, Tran N, Cheong KC, Sulser TB, Cohen PJ, Wiebe K, et al. (2021) The future of fish in Africa: Employment and investment opportunities. PLoS ONE 16(12): e0261615. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0261615en_US
dc.identifier.issn1932-6203en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12348/5053
dc.description.abstractOne of the most pressing challenges facing food systems in Africa is ensuring availability of a healthy and sustainable diet to 2.4 billion people by 2050. The continent has struggled with development challenges, particularly chronic food insecurity and pervasive poverty. In Africa’s food systems, fish and other aquatic foods play a multifaceted role in generating income, and providing a critical source of essential micronutrients. To date, there are no estimates of investment and potential returns for domestic fish production in Africa. To contribute to policy debates about the future of fish in Africa, we applied the International Model for Policy Analysis of Agriculture Commodities and Trade (IMPACT) to explore two Pan-African scenarios for fish sector growth: a business-as-usual (BAU) scenario and a high-growth scenario for capture fisheries and aquaculture with accompanying strong gross domestic product growth (HIGH). Post-model analysis was used to estimate employment and aquaculture investment requirements for the sector in Africa. Africa’s fish sector is estimated to support 20.7 million jobs in 2030, and 21.6 million by 2050 under the BAU. Approximately 2.6 people will be employed indirectly along fisheries and aquaculture value chains for every person directly employed in the fish production stage. Under the HIGH scenario, total employment in Africa’s fish food system will reach 58.0 million jobs, representing 2.4% of total projected population in Africa by 2050. Aquaculture production value is estimated to achieve US$ 3.3 billion and US$ 20.4 billion per year under the BAU and HIGH scenarios by 2050, respectively. Farm-gate investment costs for the three key inputs (fish feeds, farm labor, and fish seed) to achieve the aquaculture volumes projected by 2050 are estimated at US$ 1.8 billion per year under the BAU and US$ 11.6 billion per year under the HIGH scenario. Sustained investments are critical to sustain capture fisheries and support aquaculture growth for food system transformation towards healthier diets.en_US
dc.languageenen_US
dc.publisherPublic Library of Science (PLOS ONE)en_US
dc.rightsCC-BY-4.0en_US
dc.sourcePLoS ONE;16,(2021)en_US
dc.subjectsystems transformationen_US
dc.subjectimpact modelen_US
dc.subjectno povertyen_US
dc.subjectzero hungeren_US
dc.subjectlife below wateren_US
dc.subjectresilient agrifood systemsen_US
dc.subjectfish sectoren_US
dc.subjectFishen_US
dc.titleThe future of fish in Africa: employment and investment opportunitiesen_US
dc.typeJournal Articleen_US
cg.contributor.crpCLIMATE CHANGE, AGRICULTURE AND FOOD SECURITYen_US
cg.contributor.crpPOLICIES, INSTITUTIONS AND MARKETSen_US
cg.contributor.crpFISHen_US
cg.contributor.funderInternational Food Policy Research Instituteen_US
cg.contributor.funderCGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Securityen_US
cg.contributor.funderWorldFishen_US
cg.contributor.funderCGIAR Research Program on Policies, Institutions, and Marketsen_US
cg.contributor.funderAlliance Bioversity International-International Center for Tropical Agricultureen_US
cg.contributor.projectW1/W2 - PIM Phase 2en_US
cg.coverage.countryEgypten_US
cg.coverage.countryGhanaen_US
cg.coverage.countryKenyaen_US
cg.coverage.countryMalawien_US
cg.coverage.countryNigeriaen_US
cg.coverage.countryTanzaniaen_US
cg.coverage.countryUgandaen_US
cg.coverage.countryZambiaen_US
cg.coverage.regionNorthern Africaen_US
cg.coverage.regionWestern Africaen_US
cg.coverage.regionEastern Africaen_US
cg.subject.agrovocnutritionen_US
cg.subject.agrovocafricaen_US
cg.subject.agrovocpoverty reductionen_US
cg.subject.agrovocgender equalityen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Food Policy Research Instituteen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationWorldFishen_US
cg.identifier.statusOpen accessen_US
cg.identifier.ISIindexedISI indexeden_US
cg.contribution.worldfishauthorChan, C.en_US
cg.contribution.worldfishauthorTran, N.en_US
cg.contribution.worldfishauthorCheong, K.en_US
cg.contribution.worldfishauthorCohen, P.J.en_US
cg.contribution.worldfishauthorNasr-Allah, A.M.en_US
cg.description.themeValue chains and nutritionen_US
cg.description.themeResilient small-scale fisheriesen_US
cg.description.themeSustainable aquacultureen_US
dc.identifier.doihttps://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0261615en_US
cg.creator.idChin Yee Chan: 0000-0001-8615-2678en_US
cg.creator.idNhuong Tran: 0000-0002-1813-4571en_US
cg.creator.idKai Ching Cheong: 0000-0002-8115-417Xen_US
cg.creator.idPhilippa Jane Cohen: 0000-0002-9987-1943en_US
cg.creator.idKeith Wiebe: 0000-0001-6035-620Xen_US
cg.creator.idAhmed Mohamed Nasr-Allah: 0000-0001-6299-8556en_US


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